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Book Title: DTIC ADA307147: Japan : Prospective Profiles
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Book Category: SCENARIOS
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Language: english
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Post Date: 2025-04-15 14:58:34
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PDF Size: 1.94 MB
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Book Pages: 43
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DTIC ADA307147: Japan : Prospective Profiles
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Description of the Book:
The Commander, Seventh Fleet, asked CNA to assess the security environment 6f the Asia-Pacific Region (APR) between now and 2010. Through an examination of relevant economic, political, and demographic data and projections, this research memorandum seeks to identify alternative Japanese security-policy orientations in the year 2010. The Project’s final report, The Dynamics of Security in the Asia-Pacific Region (CNA Research Memorandum 95-172, January 1996), discusses the implications of these trends (and of the probable trends in other countries of the region) for U.S. forces, particularly the Navy. A threefold analytical approach is used to analyze alternative Japanese futures. This involves first identifying predictable long-term trends and ‘critical uncertainties’ in the Japanese political economy-that is, crossroads with unusual significance in determining long-term futures. The approach then uses these systematically predictable and uncertain aspects as building blocks in developing scenarios of alternative futures
- Creator/s: Defense Technical Information Center
- Date: 3/1/1996
- Year: 1996
- Book Topics/Themes: DTIC Archive, Calder, Kent E., CENTER FOR NAVAL ANALYSES ALEXANDRIA VA, *FOREIGN POLICY, *POLITICAL SCIENCE, *FORECASTING, *JAPAN, *PROFILES, *WESTERN SECURITY(INTERNATIONAL), *INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS, MILITARY FORCES(UNITED STATES), SCENARIOS, UNCERTAINTY, MILITARY STRATEGY, ECONOMICS, PREDICTIONS, DYNAMICS, DEMOGRAPHY, LONG RANGE(TIME), REGIONS, PATTERNS, MEDIA, PACIFIC OCEAN, ASIA, FACTOR ANALYSIS
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